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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?

Trade on Polymarket →
2.35%
Live Bitcoin Price$77,220▲ 0.20% 24h· via CoinGecko
Fri 2806 AM12 PM06 PMSat 2906 AM12 PM06 PMAug 3006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 3106 AM12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM12 PM06 PM010203040506070%2.35%

Stats

24h Volume
$58.7K

Your call

The market says 2.4%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price2.35%
Spread + depth+2.61 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability4.96%
20166
Shares
$19,166
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (4.3%)
Mid Price
2.4¢
Total Depth
$105,904
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
2.3¢277
2.2¢581
2.1¢871
2.0¢82
1.9¢302
1.8¢82
1.7¢690
1.6¢31
Asks (Sell)
2.4¢263
2.5¢1,775
2.6¢393
2.8¢7,100
3.5¢690
3.6¢5,000
3.9¢690
4.0¢90
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.61¢+8.87%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
4.96¢+106.62%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
26.81¢+1016.93%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
78.33%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 2.35%, based on $58.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.