44.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$78,847▲ 1.23% 24h· via CoinGecko
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 55.5% on "Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?", backed by $62.2K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $62.2K
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
44.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$26,087
Bid/Ask Imbalance
19% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢1,161
43.0¢1,253
42.0¢5,520
41.0¢100
40.0¢744
39.0¢10
38.0¢20
35.0¢5
Asks (Sell)
45.0¢1,243
46.0¢661
47.0¢5,617
48.0¢5
49.0¢105
50.0¢10
63.0¢5
68.0¢2
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.57¢+1.26%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
66.49¢+47.76%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
85.00%Same bet?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $62.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.