22.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$77,153▼ 1.50% 24h· via CoinGecko
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on "Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?", backed by $57.9K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $57.9K
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (4.4%)
Mid Price
22.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$62,632
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
22.0¢105
21.0¢1,595
20.0¢1,000
19.0¢741
18.0¢5,610
17.0¢5
15.0¢5
13.0¢2,981
Asks (Sell)
23.0¢3,114
24.0¢6,367
25.0¢50
28.0¢8
30.0¢879
32.0¢1,000
33.0¢2,227
34.0¢600
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
23.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
23.28¢+1.20%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
43.15¢+87.61%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
86.94%Same bet?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 22.50%, based on $57.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.