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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
1.10%
12 PMAug 2312 PMMon 2412 PMTue 2512 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PM024681012%1.10%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 1.4% in 2d (0.4–4.7%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$37.2K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.4¢ (36.4%)
Mid Price
1.1¢
Total Depth
$164,409
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.9¢30
0.8¢404
0.7¢17,290
0.6¢600
0.5¢2,431
0.4¢350
0.3¢800
0.2¢4,222
Asks (Sell)
1.3¢300
1.4¢200
1.5¢200
1.6¢700
2.1¢102
2.2¢314
2.5¢13
2.6¢100
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.56¢+96.56%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
6.20¢+376.82%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
28.13¢+2063.84%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill deepseek v5 release in september 2026?
1.96%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 1.10%, based on $37.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.