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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.05%
09 PMAug 3003 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMMon 3103 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSeptember03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM051015202530354045%0.05%

Stats

24h Volume
$70.2K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
Mid Price
Total Depth
$151,359
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.1¢46,730
0.2¢140
0.3¢280
0.4¢280
0.5¢1,280
0.6¢2,975
0.7¢1,151
0.8¢271
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
0.18¢+82.53%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
1.51¢+1407.34%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
12.92¢+12817.01%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessPSG to sign Kylian Mbappe by September 1, 2026
0.55%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.05%, based on $70.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.