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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
12.00%
07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMSeptember01 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM10121416182022%12.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$4.9K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (16.7%)
Mid Price
12.0¢
Total Depth
$5,733
Bid/Ask Imbalance
19% bid
Bids (Buy)
11.0¢150
10.0¢1,110
9.0¢7,048
8.0¢1,020
7.0¢776
6.0¢693
5.0¢1,300
4.0¢550
Asks (Sell)
13.0¢20
14.0¢831
15.0¢368
16.0¢200
17.0¢215
18.0¢25
19.0¢7
21.0¢341
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
13.97¢+7.48%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
20.75¢+59.59%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
43.55¢+234.97%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessPSG to sign Kylian Mbappe by September 1, 2026
0.55%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 12.00%, based on $4.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.