Politics · Kalshi
AOC v. Marco Rubio — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?
Trade on Kalshi →6.55%
0.01% fee-adjusted
Executive Briefing
Live Kalshi consensus prices "No" at 93.45% on "AOC v. Marco Rubio — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?", backed by $10 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $10
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Compare Across Platforms
Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)13.87%
Platforms disagree by 12.95pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Furthest from consensus | AOC v. Marco Rubio — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees? | 6.5% | 5.9¢ / 7.2¢ | 43% |
| PredictIt | Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Rubio | 19.50% | 19¢ / 20¢ | 57% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "AOC v. Marco Rubio — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?"?
As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 6.55%, based on $10 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 7, 2028, per Kalshi's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: PredictIt (19.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 13.87%. See the full comparison table below.