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Sports · Kalshi

Marcin Tybura — Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

Trade on Kalshi →
1.00%
0.00% fee-adjusted
JulyThu 02Fri 03Sat 04Jul 05Mon 06Tue 07Wed 08Thu 09Fri 10Sat 11Jul 12Mon 13Tue 14Wed 15Thu 16Fri 17Sat 18Jul 19Mon 20Tue 21Wed 22Thu 23Fri 24Sat 25Jul 2600.511.522.533.54%1.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$0

Your call

The market says 1.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price1.00%
Spread + depth0.00 pts
Fee6.93% of stake
Break-even probability1.07%
100000
Shares
$98,931
Net if it wins

Other Real Candidates — 11 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

Tom Aspinall
60.50%
Ciryl Gane
27.50%
Josh Hokit
4.50%
Alex Pereira
1.50%
Alexander Volkov
1.00%
Sergei Pavlovich
1.00%
Curtis Blaydes
1.00%
Jailton Almeida
1.00%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
1.00%
Marcin TyburaViewing
1.00%
Jon Jones
1.00%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Marcin Tybura — Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 1.00%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.