Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

1st Half Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
16.50%
14.6% calibrated
01 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMThu 0301 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM0102030405060%17.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$151.2K

Your call

The market says 16.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price16.50%
Spread + depth+14.79 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability31.29%
3196
Shares
$2,196
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (11.8%)
Mid Price
17.0¢
Total Depth
$24,907
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
16.0¢25
15.0¢71
14.0¢7,219
13.0¢5
11.0¢135
9.0¢312
8.0¢7
7.0¢143
Asks (Sell)
18.0¢50
19.0¢500
22.0¢15
33.0¢176
34.0¢3,433
36.0¢3,222
37.0¢2,333
38.0¢8
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
18.91¢+5.03%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
31.29¢+73.84%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
45.36¢+151.98%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Sports Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 36.524H
13.00%+669

1st Half Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)

13.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $126.6K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 3324H
15.50%+545

1st Half Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)

15.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $96.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 43.524H
6.50%+1438

1st Half Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)

6.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $50.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 49.9524H
0.05%

1st Half Spread: CF América (-1.5)

0.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $47.8K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 224H
51.50%-106

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-03?

51.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $57.6K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
0.15%

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $419.1K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "1st Half Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 16.50%, based on $151.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.