21.40%
18.94% fee-adjusted
Executive Briefing
Live Limitless consensus prices "No" at 78.6% on "Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth", backed by $6 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $6
Compare Across Platforms
Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)31.41%
Platforms disagree by 11.1pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limitless Furthest from consensus | Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth | 21.40% | 16.8¢ / 26¢ | 10% |
| Polymarket | US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth | 32.50% | 32¢ / 33¢ | 90% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth"?
As of the latest update, Limitless prices this at 21.40%, based on $6 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Limitless's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Limitless. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Polymarket (32.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 31.41%. See the full comparison table below.



