Executive Briefing
Live Limitless consensus prices "Yes" at 55.5% on "S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily", backed by $4.3K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $4.3K
Your call
The market says 55.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
AMM — no order book published; the fee is the documented curve, the depth cost is unknown.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily"?
As of the latest update, Limitless prices this at 55.50%, based on $4.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 2, 2026, per Limitless's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Limitless. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.