46.92%
Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 53.08% on "Will the S&P 500 close above 7,710 on Friday?", backed by 95 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 95 Mana
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the S&P 500 close above 7,710 on Friday?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 46.92%, based on 95 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.