0.05%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 99.95% on "Next Kimi K model released by August 31, 2026?", backed by $0 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $1.8K
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth (shown levels)
$10,028
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.1¢23
0.8¢100
0.9¢52
1.6¢21
96.5¢18
96.6¢10
99.0¢10
99.7¢10,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
33.83¢+33728.77%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
83.45¢+83350.55%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
97.80¢+97695.73%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
ManifoldWill Mohan Bhagwat be taken into custody by a U.S. government authority in New York City before August 31, 2026?
8.05%Same bet?
Similar Culture Markets
Polymarket▼ 30.6024H
0.90%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
0.90%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $63.6K
Manifold8.05%+1142
Will Mohan Bhagwat be taken into custody by a U.S. government authority in New York City before August 31, 2026?
8.05%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 450 Mana
Polymarket▲ 0.3024H
0.45%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
0.45%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $249.3K
Polymarket0.15%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
0.15%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $105.8K
Polymarket▼ 0.1524H
0.15%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
0.15%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $59.0K
Manifold7.33%+1264
Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least 43 home runs in 2026?
7.33%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 745 Mana
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Next Kimi K model released by August 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.05%, based on $1.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.