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AI · Polymarket

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
21.50%
Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 130102030405060%21.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 10.9% in 14d (7.7–15.2%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$302
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
5.0¢ (23.3%)
Mid Price
21.5¢
Total Depth
$430
Bid/Ask Imbalance
12% bid
Bids (Buy)
19.0¢220
9.0¢8
8.0¢51
3.0¢24
2.0¢84
1.0¢297
Asks (Sell)
24.0¢6
26.0¢6
35.0¢5
62.0¢7
69.0¢25
88.0¢44
97.0¢23
98.0¢63
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
77.61¢+223.36%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
92.16¢+284.00%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
92.16¢+284.00%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?
77.84%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 21.50%, based on $302 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.