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Politics · PredictIt

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?: Republican

Trade on PredictIt →
44.00%

Stats

24h Volume

Your call

The market says 44.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PredictItLive best ask
Quoted price44.00%
Spread + depth+1.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability45.00%
2222
Shares
$1,100
Net if it wins

No live book published. The 10% fee is charged on profit at settlement, not on entry — it is in the net profit figure, not the fill.

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PolymarketWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.15%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?: Republican"?

As of the latest update, PredictIt prices this at 44.00%, based on — in tracked 24h trading volume.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on PredictIt. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.