0.60%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 99.4% on "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?", backed by $74.8K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $74.8K
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
0.8¢ (133.3%)
Mid Price
0.6¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$10,668
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.2¢33
Asks (Sell)
1.0¢50
1.1¢150
1.2¢450
1.3¢750
1.4¢700
1.5¢1,400
1.6¢850
1.7¢950
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
1.53¢+53.13%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
6.63¢+563.06%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
41.44¢+4044.26%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
LimitlessS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
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no history published
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.60%, based on $74.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.



