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Esports · Polymarket

Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Trade on Polymarket →
54.50%
12 PM06 PMAug 3006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 3106 AM12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM12 PM06 PMThu 0306 AM12 PM06 PMFri 0406 AM12 PM4648505254565860%54.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 56.5% in 2d (55.4–57.7%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$25.2K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 54.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price54.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability55.00%
1818
Shares
$818
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.8%)
Mid Price
54.5¢
Total Depth
$53,421
Bid/Ask Imbalance
63% bid
Bids (Buy)
54.0¢3,934
53.0¢13,806
52.0¢42,901
49.0¢225
48.0¢80
47.0¢20
42.0¢325
41.0¢125
Asks (Sell)
55.0¢2,813
56.0¢11,750
57.0¢370
61.0¢125
66.0¢9
71.0¢17
76.0¢29
93.0¢11
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
55.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
55.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
59.67¢+8.50%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 54.50%, based on $25.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.