Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
AI · Polymarket

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Trade on Polymarket →
10.00%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13246810121416%10.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 10.4% in 14d (9.6–11.2%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$647
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (20.0%)
Mid Price
10.0¢
Total Depth
$353,208
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
9.0¢14,690
8.0¢4,375
7.0¢874
6.0¢756
5.0¢620
4.0¢1,516
3.0¢2,052
2.0¢4,098
Asks (Sell)
11.0¢3,944
12.0¢7,781
13.0¢360
15.0¢100
19.0¢238
20.0¢400
22.0¢10
30.0¢100
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
11.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
11.54¢+4.95%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
43.88¢+298.88%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 10.00%, based on $647 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.