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Finance · Polymarket

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Trade on Polymarket →
85.00%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 1530405060708090100%85.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 90.2% in 14d (87.2–92.5%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$3.6K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
85.0¢
Total Depth
$86,051
Bid/Ask Imbalance
19% bid
Bids (Buy)
84.0¢66
83.0¢4,712
82.0¢545
81.0¢272
80.0¢1,650
79.0¢1,880
78.0¢20
77.0¢29
Asks (Sell)
86.0¢601
87.0¢894
88.0¢1,201
89.0¢40
90.0¢35
91.0¢379
92.0¢1,020
93.0¢1,078
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
86.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
86.48¢+0.56%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
92.34¢+7.37%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 85.00%, based on $3.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.