Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Culture · Polymarket

Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Trade on Polymarket →
6.95%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11024681012141618202224%6.95%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 14.3% in 14d (9.8–20.4%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$60.3K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
7.0¢
Total Depth
$21,108,817
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
6.9¢286
6.8¢10,000
6.7¢5,047
6.4¢250
6.3¢500
6.2¢100
6.0¢100
5.9¢100
Asks (Sell)
7.0¢4,698
7.2¢361
7.3¢311
7.4¢439
7.8¢300
8.0¢144
9.0¢289
9.1¢200
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
7.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
8.18¢+16.81%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
28.39¢+305.59%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Culture Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 8.5024H
24.95%+301

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?

24.95%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $160.8K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 4.0024H
64.50%-182

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

64.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $78.1K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 5.4024H
0.05%

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $77.3K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 0.1024H
0.15%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $73.5K
Manifold logoManifold
0.94%

Will Tadej Pogacar hold the red jersey for the entire 2026 Vuelta a Espana?

0.94%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 9.9K Mana
Manifold logoManifold
84.86%-561

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?

84.86%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 3.0K Mana

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.95%, based on $60.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 13, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.