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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
38.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$77,184▼ 1.52% 24h· via CoinGecko
Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 1620304050607080%38.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 31.4% in 14d (27.2–35.9%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$49.1K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.6%)
Mid Price
38.5¢
Total Depth
$18,728
Bid/Ask Imbalance
75% bid
Bids (Buy)
38.0¢1,000
37.0¢105
36.0¢3,906
35.0¢10,705
34.0¢10,100
33.0¢120
26.0¢500
23.0¢500
Asks (Sell)
39.0¢2,111
40.0¢111
41.0¢100
42.0¢100
43.0¢37
44.0¢3,000
45.0¢95
62.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
39.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
39.45¢+1.15%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
54.95¢+40.91%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 38.50%, based on $49.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.