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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
33.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$77,265▼ 1.18% 24h· via CoinGecko
07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMWed 0201 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM1520253035%33.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$45.0K

Your call

The market says 33.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price33.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability34.00%
2941
Shares
$1,941
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.0%)
Mid Price
33.5¢
Total Depth
$106,792
Bid/Ask Imbalance
19% bid
Bids (Buy)
33.0¢30
32.0¢10,824
31.0¢1,245
30.0¢1,350
29.0¢29,627
28.0¢823
27.0¢3,000
24.0¢124
Asks (Sell)
34.0¢17,062
35.0¢8,450
36.0¢268
37.0¢520
38.0¢585
39.0¢50
41.0¢5
43.0¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
34.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
34.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
35.11¢+3.26%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
75.33%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 33.50%, based on $45.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.