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Sports · Polymarket

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
90.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 158486889092949698%90.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 90.6% in 14d (89.9–91.2%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$2
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (3.3%)
Mid Price
90.5¢
Total Depth
$4,605
Bid/Ask Imbalance
59% bid
Bids (Buy)
89.0¢136
88.0¢796
87.0¢20
86.0¢20
85.0¢115
75.0¢13
58.0¢3,000
8.0¢14
Asks (Sell)
92.0¢18
93.0¢122
94.0¢227
95.0¢891
96.0¢414
97.0¢50
98.0¢37
99.0¢207
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
92.83¢+0.91%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
94.50¢+2.72%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.47¢+3.77%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 90.50%, based on $2 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.