72.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 72.5% on "Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?", backed by $3.5K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $3.5K
- Momentum
- -0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
72.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$54,724
Bid/Ask Imbalance
15% bid
Bids (Buy)
72.0¢224
70.0¢254
69.0¢460
68.0¢200
66.0¢37
65.0¢205
64.0¢350
63.0¢492
Asks (Sell)
73.0¢200
74.0¢200
75.0¢729
76.0¢801
77.0¢2,100
79.0¢601
80.0¢3,517
81.0¢5,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
73.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
74.71¢+2.34%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
79.06¢+8.31%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 72.50%, based on $3.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.