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AI · Polymarket

Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
59.00%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1346485052545658606264666870%59.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 59.7% in 14d (55.3–63.9%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$20
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
12.0¢ (20.3%)
Mid Price
59.0¢
Total Depth
$5,462
Bid/Ask Imbalance
31% bid
Bids (Buy)
53.0¢1,500
52.0¢4
51.0¢500
48.0¢500
43.0¢45
42.0¢17
41.0¢17
37.0¢508
Asks (Sell)
65.0¢10
66.0¢100
68.0¢58
72.0¢25
73.0¢26
74.0¢5
75.0¢500
76.0¢45
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
66.48¢+2.28%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
77.18¢+18.75%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.35¢+39.00%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 59.00%, based on $20 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.