61.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 61.5% on "Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?", backed by $69 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $69
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
15.0¢ (24.4%)
Mid Price
61.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$5,038
Bid/Ask Imbalance
46% bid
Bids (Buy)
54.0¢56
53.0¢2,500
49.0¢41
45.0¢500
41.0¢5
40.0¢518
39.0¢18
34.0¢21
Asks (Sell)
69.0¢14
75.0¢98
76.0¢305
77.0¢60
78.0¢50
79.0¢33
80.0¢5
81.0¢537
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
74.54¢+8.03%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
79.64¢+15.42%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
89.77¢+30.10%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 61.50%, based on $69 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.