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AI · Polymarket

Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
44.00%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1301020304050607080%44.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 45.4% in 14d (28.8–63.1%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.1K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
16.0¢ (36.4%)
Mid Price
44.0¢
Total Depth
$10,415
Bid/Ask Imbalance
17% bid
Bids (Buy)
36.0¢5
35.0¢6
34.0¢48
33.0¢2,500
26.0¢81
22.0¢32
21.0¢33
20.0¢174
Asks (Sell)
52.0¢1,997
54.0¢500
58.0¢100
60.0¢18
61.0¢18
62.0¢5
68.0¢500
70.0¢6
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
52.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
52.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
79.58¢+53.03%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.00%, based on $1.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.