53.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 53% on "Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?", backed by $435 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $435
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
6.0¢ (11.3%)
Mid Price
53.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$3,422
Bid/Ask Imbalance
48% bid
Bids (Buy)
50.0¢286
41.0¢17
40.0¢176
39.0¢300
11.0¢50
10.0¢150
8.0¢8
7.0¢132
Asks (Sell)
56.0¢105
68.0¢5
69.0¢20
77.0¢7
79.0¢40
80.0¢50
85.0¢60
86.0¢100
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
62.32¢+11.29%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
88.72¢+58.42%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
92.93¢+65.94%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 53.00%, based on $435 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.