15.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 85% on "Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?", backed by $1 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $1
- Momentum
- -0.02pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
10.0¢ (66.7%)
Mid Price
15.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$3,167
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
10.0¢8
9.0¢530
7.0¢289
6.0¢530
1.0¢58
Asks (Sell)
20.0¢411
21.0¢40
72.0¢25
73.0¢36
76.0¢222
77.0¢370
81.0¢110
94.0¢11
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
21.56¢+7.78%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
64.39¢+221.97%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
84.02¢+320.12%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 15.00%, based on $1 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.