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Sports · Polymarket

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Trade on Polymarket →
64.25%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1348505254565860626466687072%64.25%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 66.6% in 14d (64.9–68.2%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$17.1K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.2%)
Mid Price
64.3¢
Total Depth
$11,746,954
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
64.2¢2,287
64.1¢2,086
64.0¢7,025
63.9¢1,190
63.8¢2,520
63.7¢1,000
63.6¢1,756
63.5¢2,130
Asks (Sell)
64.3¢156
64.4¢532
64.5¢590
64.6¢70
64.7¢1,200
64.8¢1,076
65.0¢159
65.1¢300
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
64.30¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
64.48¢+0.27%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
65.71¢+2.20%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 64.25%, based on $17.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.