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Entertainment · Polymarket

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade on Polymarket →
19.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 158101214161820222426%19.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 19.2% in 14d (17.3–21.3%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$267
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 19.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price19.50%
Spread + depth+29.01 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability48.51%
2061
Shares
$1,061
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (5.1%)
Mid Price
19.5¢
Total Depth
$35,729
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
19.0¢203
18.0¢40
17.0¢363
16.0¢3,769
15.0¢40
14.0¢50
13.0¢20
Asks (Sell)
20.0¢340
21.0¢313
22.0¢40
27.0¢10
46.0¢40
47.0¢66
50.0¢50
51.0¢20
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
20.31¢+1.55%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
48.51¢+142.56%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
85.97¢+329.85%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 19.50%, based on $267 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 14, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.