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Culture · Polymarket

Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?

Trade on Polymarket →
9.10%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31September0510152025303540455055%9.10%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 10.6% in 3d (3.4–28.6%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$38.2K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.2¢ (35.2%)
Mid Price
9.1¢
Total Depth
$14,144
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
7.5¢1,863
7.2¢47
7.0¢200
6.8¢50
6.5¢50
6.0¢200
5.1¢350
5.0¢275
Asks (Sell)
10.7¢60
10.8¢82
11.3¢79
11.4¢50
11.7¢50
11.8¢25
13.3¢254
13.4¢20
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
12.45¢+16.33%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
27.36¢+155.73%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
78.04¢+629.31%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 9.10%, based on $38.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.