Entertainment · Polymarket
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Trade on Polymarket →94.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 94.5% on "Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?", backed by $178 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $178
- Momentum
- +0.02pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
5.0¢ (5.3%)
Mid Price
94.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$692
Bid/Ask Imbalance
85% bid
Bids (Buy)
92.0¢66
73.0¢216
72.0¢342
67.0¢40
62.0¢129
56.0¢20
11.0¢20
3.0¢24
Asks (Sell)
97.0¢15
99.0¢92
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
98.71¢+1.76%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
98.72¢+1.78%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
98.72¢+1.78%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Other Entertainment Markets
Polymarket▼ 0.524H
74.00%-285
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
74.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $106.8K
Polymarket▼ 3.524H
23.00%+335
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
23.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $58.0K
Manifold73.55%-278
Will The Odyssey ever surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day in daily domestic box office gross during their initial runs?
73.55%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 648 Mana
Manifold53.61%-116
Will we get a Trailer 4 for GTA VI?
53.61%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 92 Mana
Manifold37.00%+170
Will a playable build of Grand Theft Auto VI leak before November 1, 2026?
37.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 57 Mana
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 94.50%, based on $178 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 21, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.