16.40%
15.7% calibrated
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 83.6% on "Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", backed by $35.1K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $35.1K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
0.2¢ (1.2%)
Mid Price
16.4¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$11,918,546
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
16.3¢767
16.2¢200
16.0¢6
15.6¢684
15.4¢102
15.3¢64
15.2¢186
15.1¢100
Asks (Sell)
16.5¢1,796
16.6¢3,849
16.8¢100
16.9¢50
17.0¢653
17.2¢1,000
17.3¢354
17.4¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
16.50¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
16.59¢+0.55%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
19.61¢+18.86%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 16.40%, based on $35.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.