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Sports · Polymarket

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Trade on Polymarket →
9.50%
8.1% calibrated
Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17246810121416%9.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 8.2% in 14d (7.2–9.4%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$166.4K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 9.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price9.50%
Spread + depth+0.64 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability10.14%
9860
Shares
$8,860
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (10.5%)
Mid Price
9.5¢
Total Depth
$2,346,815
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
9.0¢6,612
8.0¢10,133
7.0¢49,731
6.0¢13,651
5.0¢5,227
4.0¢32,600
3.0¢4,457
2.0¢11,900
Asks (Sell)
10.0¢8,456
11.0¢109,520
12.0¢2,526
13.0¢10,342
14.0¢17,533
15.0¢6,570
16.0¢50
17.0¢130
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
10.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
10.14¢+1.42%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
10.91¢+9.08%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Barcelona
16.50%
Paris Saint-Germain
13.50%
Manchester CityViewing
9.50%
Liverpool
4.50%
Lens
0.30%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.15%
Club Brugge
0.15%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessPremier League clubs to spend €3.5B+ in summer 2026 transfer window
100.00%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 9.50%, based on $166.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around May 30, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.