Sports · Polymarket

Will Matt Olson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

89.00%

Model projection: 91.2% in 14d (85.7–94.7%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 89% on "Will Matt Olson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?", backed by $727 in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $727
Momentum: +0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

14.0¢ (15.7%)

Mid Price

89.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$532

Bid/Ask Imbalance

49% bid

Bids (Buy)

82.0¢11

81.0¢42

77.0¢180

76.0¢40

71.0¢31

30.0¢62

29.0¢20

3.0¢6

Asks (Sell)

96.0¢106

97.0¢114

98.0¢41

99.0¢20

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

96.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

96.91¢+0.95%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

$10,000 order

96.91¢+0.95%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Matt Olson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 89.00%, based on $727 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.