AI · Polymarket
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
Trade on Polymarket →7.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 92.5% on "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?", backed by $344 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $344
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (13.3%)
Mid Price
7.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$51,685
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
7.0¢4,201
6.0¢7,175
5.0¢19,171
4.0¢7,449
3.0¢667
2.0¢28
1.0¢605
Asks (Sell)
8.0¢2,972
9.0¢4,933
10.0¢17,941
11.0¢4,313
12.0¢23
13.0¢70
17.0¢8
18.0¢9
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
8.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
9.02¢+12.74%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
25.61¢+220.15%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 7.50%, based on $344 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.