90.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 90.5% on "Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?", backed by $1.2K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $1.2K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
90.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$12,397
Bid/Ask Imbalance
75% bid
Bids (Buy)
90.0¢1,604
89.0¢1,512
88.0¢60
87.0¢342
86.0¢382
85.0¢1,175
83.0¢8
82.0¢9
Asks (Sell)
91.0¢507
92.0¢107
93.0¢311
94.0¢788
96.0¢13
97.0¢144
98.0¢1,014
99.0¢310
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
91.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
92.11¢+1.22%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.26¢+4.68%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar AI Markets
Polymarket0.05%
Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
0.05%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $147.5K
Limitless59.50%-147
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
59.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $327
Manifold21.40%+367
[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?
21.40%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 1.0K Mana
Manifold62.30%-165
Will @jim publish an article on his AI timelines by end-of-month?
62.30%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 102 Mana
Manifold18.16%+451
Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win?
18.16%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 0 Mana
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 90.50%, based on $1.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.