Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Trade on Polymarket →
52.15%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13253035404550556065%52.15%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 57.1% in 14d (53.4–60.7%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.6K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.2%)
Mid Price
52.2¢
Total Depth
$17,083
Bid/Ask Imbalance
28% bid
Bids (Buy)
52.1¢130
51.6¢100
50.1¢1,032
50.0¢3,100
49.6¢403
49.4¢51
49.1¢120
49.0¢325
Asks (Sell)
52.2¢375
52.3¢100
52.7¢118
53.6¢200
54.2¢980
54.3¢100
56.2¢81
56.9¢62
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
52.20¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
53.54¢+2.57%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
89.41¢+71.29%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar AI Markets

Manifold logoManifold
21.40%+367

[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?

21.40%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 1.0K Mana
Polymarket logoPolymarket
0.05%

Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $147.5K
Limitless logoLimitless
59.50%-147

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily

59.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $327
Manifold logoManifold
62.30%-165

Will @jim publish an article on his AI timelines by end-of-month?

62.30%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 102 Mana
Manifold logoManifold
18.16%+451

Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win?

18.16%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 0 Mana

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 52.15%, based on $1.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.