AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

7.50%

Model projection: 7.3% in 14d (6.3–8.5%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 92.5% on "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?", backed by $430 in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $430
Momentum: -0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

1.0¢ (13.3%)

Mid Price

7.5¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$13,707

Bid/Ask Imbalance

3% bid

Bids (Buy)

7.0¢70

6.0¢1,856

5.0¢1,161

4.0¢4,138

3.0¢343

2.0¢1,066

1.0¢1,861

Asks (Sell)

8.0¢1,757

9.0¢2,502

10.0¢1,630

11.0¢100

46.0¢13

47.0¢17

57.0¢16

58.0¢41

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

8.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

14.78¢+84.70%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

54.43¢+580.43%

avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Other AI Markets

Polymarket

0.05%

Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $147.5K

Limitless

59.50%-147

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily

59.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $327

Manifold

21.40%+367

[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?

21.40%Live price only —
no history published

VOL 1.0K Mana

Manifold

62.30%-165

Will @jim publish an article on his AI timelines by end-of-month?

62.30%Live price only —
no history published

VOL 102 Mana

Manifold

18.16%+451

Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win?

18.16%Live price only —
no history published

VOL 0 Mana

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 7.50%, based on $430 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.