30.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 69.5% on "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?", backed by $260 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $260
- Momentum
- -0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
3.0¢ (9.8%)
Mid Price
30.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$6,642
Bid/Ask Imbalance
70% bid
Bids (Buy)
29.0¢317
27.0¢40
26.0¢10
24.0¢10
23.0¢100
21.0¢10
19.0¢37
18.0¢100
Asks (Sell)
32.0¢40
33.0¢100
38.0¢25
39.0¢300
45.0¢16
46.0¢500
70.0¢8
71.0¢8
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
35.76¢+11.76%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
55.83¢+74.46%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
63.97¢+99.90%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar AI Markets
Manifold77.84%-351
OpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?
77.84%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 58 Mana
Polymarket0.05%
Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
0.05%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $102.4K
Limitless59.50%-147
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
59.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $27.3K
Manifold85.40%-585
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
85.40%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 1.8K Mana
Manifold14.86%+573
[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?
14.86%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 658 Mana
Manifold56.01%-127
Will @jim publish an article on his AI timelines by end-of-month?
56.01%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 465 Mana
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 30.50%, based on $260 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.


