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Entertainment · Polymarket

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade on Polymarket →
27.00%
Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15510152025303540455055%27.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 28.9% in 14d (24.4–33.9%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.6K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (7.4%)
Mid Price
27.0¢
Total Depth
$7,040
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
26.0¢9
25.0¢74
22.0¢580
21.0¢40
20.0¢210
15.0¢20
2.0¢13
1.0¢553
Asks (Sell)
28.0¢211
29.0¢759
30.0¢110
31.0¢238
32.0¢80
33.0¢50
34.0¢199
35.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
28.40¢+1.43%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
35.36¢+26.30%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
76.83¢+174.38%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 27.00%, based on $1.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 14, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.