35.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 65% on "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?", backed by $7.9K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $7.9K
- Momentum
- -0.03pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
9.0¢ (25.4%)
Mid Price
35.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$442,938
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
31.0¢373
30.0¢750
26.0¢200
23.0¢178
12.0¢5,000
7.0¢19
6.0¢16,667
4.0¢5
Asks (Sell)
40.0¢40
41.0¢123
48.0¢20
49.0¢117
50.0¢998
53.0¢200
66.0¢5
68.0¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
43.12¢+7.80%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
53.87¢+34.69%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
81.81¢+104.54%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
LimitlessS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 35.00%, based on $7.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.



