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Finance · Polymarket

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
35.00%
Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 150102030405060%35.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 16.4% in 14d (11.0–23.8%)-0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$7.9K
Momentum
-0.03pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
9.0¢ (25.4%)
Mid Price
35.5¢
Total Depth
$442,938
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
31.0¢373
30.0¢750
26.0¢200
23.0¢178
12.0¢5,000
7.0¢19
6.0¢16,667
4.0¢5
Asks (Sell)
40.0¢40
41.0¢123
48.0¢20
49.0¢117
50.0¢998
53.0¢200
66.0¢5
68.0¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
43.12¢+7.80%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
53.87¢+34.69%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
81.81¢+104.54%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
50.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 35.00%, based on $7.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.