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Finance · Polymarket

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Trade on Polymarket →
28.00%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15101520253035404550%28.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 27.3% in 14d (18.1–39.1%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$200
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
10.0¢ (35.7%)
Mid Price
28.0¢
Total Depth
$5,041
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
23.0¢43
22.0¢427
20.0¢15
19.0¢250
18.0¢200
17.0¢5
15.0¢20
14.0¢25
Asks (Sell)
33.0¢6
34.0¢39
35.0¢189
50.0¢60
64.0¢9
66.0¢10
68.0¢50
69.0¢367
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
36.90¢+11.81%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
63.91¢+93.66%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
78.53¢+137.96%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 28.00%, based on $200 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.