AI · Polymarket
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?
Trade on Polymarket →81.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 81% on "Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?", backed by $1.0K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $1.0K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.2%)
Mid Price
81.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$8,625
Bid/Ask Imbalance
35% bid
Bids (Buy)
81.0¢7
80.0¢971
79.0¢503
78.0¢100
75.0¢50
63.0¢8
62.0¢20
61.0¢2,012
Asks (Sell)
82.0¢1,041
83.0¢513
84.0¢60
85.0¢50
86.0¢5
87.0¢5
90.0¢20
91.0¢1,264
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
82.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
82.14¢+0.18%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.97¢+10.94%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 81.00%, based on $1.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.