AI · Polymarket
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Trade on Polymarket →87.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 87.5% on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?", backed by $0 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $14.2K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
87.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$5,450
Bid/Ask Imbalance
41% bid
Bids (Buy)
87.0¢323
86.9¢491
86.0¢100
84.1¢609
83.6¢64
83.0¢20
81.0¢200
71.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
88.0¢245
88.1¢639
88.3¢200
89.0¢100
89.1¢797
89.5¢304
90.0¢100
91.9¢900
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
88.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
88.15¢+0.17%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.34¢+2.66%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 87.50%, based on $14.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.