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Entertainment · Polymarket

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
93.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 158486889092949698%93.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 93.6% in 14d (92.6–94.4%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$5.0K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 93.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price93.50%
Spread + depth+0.67 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability94.17%
1062
Shares
$62
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
93.5¢
Total Depth
$77,664
Bid/Ask Imbalance
60% bid
Bids (Buy)
93.0¢375
92.0¢3,253
91.0¢4,632
90.0¢2,509
89.0¢10,597
88.0¢28,555
87.0¢111
81.0¢50
Asks (Sell)
94.0¢876
95.0¢2,068
96.0¢9,225
97.0¢14,920
98.0¢2,187
99.0¢2,461
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
94.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
94.17¢+0.19%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.63¢+1.74%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 93.50%, based on $5.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.