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Politics · Polymarket

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Trade on Polymarket →
71.50%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1356586062646668707274767880%71.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 73.4% in 14d (71.2–75.6%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$100.5K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
71.5¢
Total Depth
$3,194,652
Bid/Ask Imbalance
7% bid
Bids (Buy)
71.0¢86,358
70.0¢7,239
69.0¢11,258
68.0¢19,115
67.0¢13,000
66.0¢21,101
65.0¢30,218
64.0¢6,125
Asks (Sell)
72.0¢2,902
73.0¢14,712
74.0¢11,940
75.0¢32,091
76.0¢41,879
77.0¢44,304
78.0¢73,534
79.0¢97,221
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
72.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
72.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
72.79¢+1.10%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PredictItHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?: 192 or fewer
21.50%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 71.50%, based on $100.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.