Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Culture · Polymarket

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
90.50%
Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 1530405060708090100%90.40%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 96.0% in 14d (82.8–99.2%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$14.1K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
8.2¢ (9.1%)
Mid Price
90.3¢
Total Depth
$23,633
Bid/Ask Imbalance
29% bid
Bids (Buy)
86.2¢50
86.1¢6
85.9¢26
85.2¢90
85.1¢144
85.0¢5,000
62.1¢18
62.0¢20
Asks (Sell)
94.4¢40
94.5¢30
94.6¢20
95.1¢23
95.2¢20
95.3¢131
95.4¢800
95.5¢2,500
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
94.57¢+0.18%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
95.30¢+0.95%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.72¢+1.40%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessPSG to sign Kylian Mbappe by September 1, 2026
0.55%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 90.50%, based on $14.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.