14.50%
13.7% calibrated
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 85.5% on "US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa", backed by $310.0K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $310.0K
- Momentum
- -0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (6.9%)
Mid Price
14.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$139,772
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
14.0¢18,932
13.0¢25,767
12.0¢14,425
11.0¢360
10.0¢520
9.0¢270
2.0¢1,450
1.0¢68,352
Asks (Sell)
15.0¢6,479
16.0¢24,753
17.0¢14,288
18.0¢18,669
19.0¢10,746
20.0¢234
21.0¢14,102
22.0¢13,903
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
15.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
15.03¢+0.18%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
16.62¢+10.78%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)38.17%→ 27.8% calibrated
Platforms disagree by 35.5pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Furthest from consensus | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | 14.50% | 14¢ / 15¢ | 33% |
| Limitless Newly confirmed | Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | 50.00% | 0¢ / 0¢ | 67% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 14.50%, based on $310.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (50.00%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 38.17%. See the full comparison table below.